Election markets could be headed in a similar direction. The largest and most liquid market, the cryptocurrency-based Polymarket, is rapidly closing in on $1 billion in U.S. election bets — but ...

With Election Day behind us, here's a look at some of the unofficial polls that got the 2024 presidential results wrong.

American election bettors can now go daily to a growing number of apps and websites to wager on the next president and so ...

Top experts have issued their final US election predictions while the White House has been barricaded ahead of feared riots. Heavy-duty metal fencing standing 10 feet tall appeared along the ...

Donald Trump currently leads presidential election predictions with a 64.29% chance of winning the 2024 election, while Kamala Harris stands at 35.71%, with just six days until the election.

Donald Trump currently leads presidential election predictions with a 61.74% chance of winning the 2024 election, while Kamala Harris stands at 38.26%, with just five days until the election.

Election predictions are difficult in battleground states like Arizona. But Allan Lichtman, a historian who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the past 10 presidential elections, ...

Election predictions are too noisy to tell if Trump or Harris wins. Aaron Brown. Bloomberg Opinion (TNS) What is the probability that Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election?

Even Bean, whose election predictions made headlines for decades, cautioned against reading his analysis as gospel. A year before the 1968 election, he predicted, with a caveat, ...

Regulating U.S. prediction markets will become far more critical when large sums are focused directly on the outcome of elections, which are, after all, the foundation of our democracy.

Election Day is finally here. From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox. From our morning news briefing to a weekly ...