Clare Malone of ABC News’ FiveThirtyEight wrote a particularly gushing feature ... According to statistician Nate Silver, who ...

However, because of the Electoral College, former president Donald Trump is edging ahead in most projections of who will win, including from Nate Silver, 538, and the RealClearPolitics averages.

Election modeling has become a serious racket ever since Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight but now working ...

In some less closely-watched parts of the US, polls underestimated Trump's support more significantly - a sign of some blind ...

Several prominent polling experts, including Nate Silver, The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, had the race at essentially ...

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris enter the vote-counting stage of the 2024 presidential election in a dead heat in the most ...

A recent survey by the American Psychological Association found that 69 percent of Americans are stressed out by the 2024 race, which is slightly higher than the percentage who voted in the last ...

It’s almost a dead heat between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, say the polls. But then there are unknowns. What are they?

Before there was a FiveThirtyEight model, or a New York Times election night needle, or 13 keys revealing “how presidential ...

Voter turnout will likely be the deciding factor in the razor-thin presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to polling expert Nate Silver."It's a cliché," Silver wrote on ...

The statistician has revealed what he believes to be the worst and the best decisions made in the 2024 election campaign.

I read a couple of books recently that, while I’d not like to take a three-hour final on them, nudged my brain out of neutral ...