In the best-case scenario, polling will muddle through; at worst, it will misfire spectacularly, inflaming an already ...

No one who watched Alexei Navalny's meteoric trajectory, from civic activist to opposition leader to the world's most famous ...

Polling’s theoretical accuracy relies on the statistics underlying the relation between a random sample and the ... vote totals under different partisan scenarios. Trump-era exit polls show ...

The latest news in US politics, with coverage of President Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and the Democrats, Donald Trump and the ...

And a replay of the disappointing scenario of Hillary ... for caution over the likelihood of random aggression. 4. Prepare for a new direction in Black political strategy toward accruing influence ...

Only a few weeks ago, massive precipitation produced by the storm 'Boris' led to chaos and flooding in Central and Eastern Europe. An analysis shows that in a world without the current level of global ...

To develop realistic voter turnout scenarios, Ipsos employs a multifaceted approach that considers key indicators such as interest in politics, desire to vote ... A scientific process of multi-stage ...

Yet a close look at the results of public opinion surveys reveals an important and often overlooked truth: the American ...

Both of those figures are roughly double what we would expect in a perfect polling world where the only source of variation is the random selection ... as 2020 because our politics are stable ...

Less than three weeks before Election Day, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by fewer than three points in national polls. Because Republicans have a structural advantage in the Electoral College, this ...

Murphy acknowledged that his administration has already begun preparing for potential federal actions targeting undocumented ...

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump blitzed battleground states the day before polls opened for ...