Betting odds proved to be a much better prognosticator than polls in forecasting Donald Trump’s landslide victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential election. Several prominent ...

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris enter the vote-counting stage of the 2024 presidential election in a dead heat in the most ...

It is as expected: pre-election opinion polling has declared Clinton ahead by a country mile, with Reuters, CNN and The New ...

Bean achieved a sort of political fame for a book he wrote in 1948 that suggested ... “People, I think, are looking for ...

Voter turnout will likely be the deciding factor in the razor-thin presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to polling expert Nate Silver."It's a cliché," Silver wrote on ...

The statistician has revealed what he believes to be the worst and the best decisions made in the 2024 election campaign.

I read a couple of books recently that, while I’d not like to take a three-hour final on them, nudged my brain out of neutral ...

The electorate can also change a lot in four years: voters die, a crop of new ones turn 18 and become eligible to vote, and ...

The bottom line is that modern pollsters are trying to correct for known forms of possible bias in their samples by making subjective adjustments to the data. If their judgments are correct, then ...

Abbey began her study, “Understanding the Adversary: Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in National Security,” with a ...

What do Nate Silver's latest polls indicate about Kamala Harris's performance? Nate Silver's recent polling suggests that Kamala Harris's national lead over Donald Trump has narrowed to just 1.3 ...

Ahead of the November 5 US Presidential Election, American pollster Nate Silver said Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump may win the electoral battle against Democratic ...